PEPOvs
HIFK Helsinki
COMPLETEDFinland · Kakkonen - Lohko A · 9/8/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PEPO · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PEPO 2-1 HIFK Helsinki
Original prediction
PEPO
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.2% | 57.1% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 19.1% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 22.9% | 23.9% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
PEPO
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
PEPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PEPODDWWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HIFK HelsinkiDWLLD
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
PEPOHIFK Helsinki
61.7Attack70.0
60.0Defence41.7
65.0Form51.7
62.9Power54.8
2.46xG1.55