Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PEPO · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
PEPO are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atlantis are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PEPO hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while PEPO holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PEPO
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
6.9%
PEPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80