Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Přepeře · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (13%), 3-0 (13%), 5-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Přepeře 3-1 Svitavy
Original prediction
Přepeře
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 75.3% | 82.5% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.09 | 15.0% | 10.7% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 9.38 | 9.7% | 6.8% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–013%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.5–010%
Predicted outcome
Přepeře
Probability
82.5%
Model confidence
82.5%
Přepeře has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PřepeřeLWWWW
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SvitavyLDDLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PřepeřeSvitavy
100.0Attack25.0
62.5Defence29.2
75.0Form20.8
75.0Power27.9
4.08xG0.68