Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Přepeře · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Přepeře 8-1 Letohrad
Original prediction
Přepeře
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.8% | 64.3% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.28 | 17.3% | 18.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 6.15 | 14.9% | 17.1% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Přepeře
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Přepeře has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PřepeřeWLWWW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LetohradLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 21 · avg 1.00/4.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
PřepeřeLetohrad
83.3Attack33.3
41.7Defence0.0
75.0Form0.0
67.7Power16.3
3.30xG1.22