Penybontvs
Haverfordwest County AFC
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/18/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penybont · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Penybont are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Haverfordwest County AFC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Penybont hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Premier League, while Penybont holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Penybont
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Penybont has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80