GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/18/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Penybont · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Penybont are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Haverfordwest County AFC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Penybont hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Premier League, while Penybont holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Penybont

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Penybont has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PenybontWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Haverfordwest County AFCDDLWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PenybontHaverfordwest County AFC
33.3Attack0.0
83.3Defence50.0
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power21.5
1.72xG1.01
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