Penybontvs
Flint Town United
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penybont · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Penybont 1-1 Flint Town United
Original prediction
Penybont
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.1% | 58.5% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.5% | 22.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.66 | 19.4% | 19.0% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Penybont
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Penybont has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00