UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 9 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Penybont

Penybont

Home
LL
01
Full time
FC Santa Coloma

FC Santa Coloma

Away
WW
Cardiff City Stadium
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
FC Santa Coloma(38%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: FC Santa Coloma
Win probability
Penybont
32%
Draw
30%
FC Santa Coloma
38%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Penybont
9
FC Santa Coloma
73
Defence
Penybont
27
FC Santa Coloma
91
Momentum
Penybont
0
FC Santa Coloma
100
Danger (xG)
Penybont
0.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Penybont)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (FC Santa Coloma)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Penybont)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (FC Santa Coloma)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PenybontPenybont
LL
FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma
WWL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Penybont32%
Draw30%
FC Santa Coloma38%

FC Santa Coloma leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Penybont head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Cardiff City Stadium in mixed form (LL), while FC Santa Coloma arrive in decent form (WW). Penybont have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for FC Santa Coloma over 2 games.

Tactically, FC Santa Coloma hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Penybont defence (27/100), while Penybont's attack faces a watertight FC Santa Coloma backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Penybont have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. FC Santa Coloma have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

FC Santa Coloma have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects FC Santa Coloma to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Penybont 3160%, Draw 2990%, FC Santa Coloma 3840%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Penybont 0Draws 02 FC Santa Coloma
Avg goals: 2.0
16 Jul 2026
Penybont
L03
FC Santa Coloma
9 Jul 2026
Penybont
L01
FC Santa Coloma

Recent form

Penybont

Penybont

L
@ FC Santa Coloma
16 Jul 2026
03
L
vs FC Santa Coloma
9 Jul 2026
01
FC Santa Coloma

FC Santa Coloma

W
vs Penybont
16 Jul 2026
30
W
@ Penybont
9 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Ranger's
16 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

GoalVio's model predicts FC Santa Coloma to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more