Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 13 June 202614:00Updated today
Penybont

Penybont

Home
LL
vs
14:00
Caerau (Ely)

Caerau (Ely)

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Caerau (Ely)49%
Draw28%
Penybont24%
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Penybont
24%
Draw
28%
Caerau (Ely)
49%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Penybont)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Penybont)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
PenybontPenybont
LL

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Penybont24%
Draw28%
Caerau (Ely)49%

Caerau (Ely) leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Penybont head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (LL), while Caerau (Ely) arrive in unknown form.

Penybont have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Caerau (Ely) have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Penybont and Caerau (Ely) in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Caerau (Ely) to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Penybont 2360%, Draw 2750%, Caerau (Ely) 4890%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Penybont

Penybont

L
@ FC Santa Coloma
16 Jul 2026
03
L
vs FC Santa Coloma
9 Jul 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Penybont vs Caerau (Ely)?

GoalVio's model predicts Caerau (Ely) to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Caerau (Ely)?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Penybont vs Caerau (Ely)?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Penybont vs Caerau (Ely)?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more