Penybontvs
Briton Ferry
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penybont · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Penybont 2-0 Briton Ferry, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Penybont 3-2 Briton Ferry
Original prediction
Penybont
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.5% | 63.4% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.2% | 21.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 5.83 | 15.3% | 15.0% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Penybont 2–0 Briton Ferry
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Penybont
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Penybont has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PenybontWWDDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Briton FerryLLLLW
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
PenybontBriton Ferry
50.0Attack25.0
79.2Defence37.5
75.0Form29.2
70.4Power34.2
2.17xG0.51