Penya Encarnadavs
Esperança d'Andorra
COMPLETEDAndorra · 1a Divisió · 10/25/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esperança d'Andorra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Penya Encarnada 0-1 Esperança d'Andorra
Original prediction
Esperança d'Andorra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.3% | 29.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.6% | 24.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.2% | 45.9% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Esperança d'Andorra
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Esperança d'Andorra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40