Penuelvs
Trostianets
SCHEDULEDUkraine · Druha Liga · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penuel · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Penuel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Trostianets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Druha Liga, while Penuel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Penuel
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Penuel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60