PenuelvsMetalurh Zaporizhya

Penuel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Metalurh Zaporizhya are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Penuel hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Druha Liga, while Penuel holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.