PenuelvsMetal Kharkiv

Penuel are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Metal Kharkiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Metal Kharkiv hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Cup, while Penuel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.