Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penuel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Penuel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lozova are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Penuel hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Druha Liga, while Penuel holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Penuel
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Penuel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00