GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 11/12/2025, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Penuel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Penuel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Penuel hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Druha Liga, while Penuel holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Penuel

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Penuel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PenuelLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lokomotiv KyivWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 0 · avg 1.80/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
PenuelLokomotiv Kyiv
44.4Attack44.9
55.6Defence44.9
44.4Form38.5
51.1Power43.7
1.76xG1.17
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