Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chayka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Penuel are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Chayka are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chayka
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.33/3.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40