Pennarossavs
Folgore
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Coppa Titano · 10/25/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Folgore · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Pennarossa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Folgore are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Folgore hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Coppa Titano, while Folgore holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Folgore
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Folgore has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20