GGOALVIO

Australia · Australia Cup · 8/4/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peninsula Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Peninsula Power are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Wellington Phoenix have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Wellington Phoenix hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Australia Cup, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peninsula Power

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Peninsula Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Peninsula PowerDDWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Wellington PhoenixNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Peninsula PowerWellington Phoenix
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power42.7
1.87xG1.74
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