Peninsula PowervsMoreton City Excelsior

Peninsula Power are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Peninsula Power hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Queensland NPL, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.