Peninsula Powervs
Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 4/25/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Peninsula Power are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lions are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60