GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 2/21/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peninsula Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Peninsula Power are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Eastern Suburbs are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Peninsula Power hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peninsula Power

Probability

67.3%

Model confidence

67.3%

Peninsula Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Peninsula PowerLLDWW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Eastern SuburbsLWWWL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Peninsula PowerEastern Suburbs
74.2Attack51.5
59.1Defence47.0
68.2Form43.9
67.5Power47.9
2.75xG1.11
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