GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/4/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peninsula Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Peninsula Power are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Brisbane City are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Peninsula Power hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the Queensland NPL, while Peninsula Power holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peninsula Power

Probability

70.3%

Model confidence

70.3%

Peninsula Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Peninsula PowerL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Brisbane CityWLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Peninsula PowerBrisbane City
74.2Attack71.2
59.1Defence27.3
68.2Form51.5
67.5Power51.1
3.72xG1.56
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