Pendiksporvs
Ümraniyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pendikspor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pendikspor 1-0 Ümraniyespor
Original prediction
Pendikspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.9% | 42.2% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.9% | 26.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.31 | 21.2% | 30.9% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Pendikspor
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Pendikspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20