Pendiksporvs
Kayserispor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/25/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kayserispor · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-3 (14%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pendikspor 2-2 Kayserispor
Original prediction
Kayserispor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.01 | 22.6% | 22.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.5% | 24.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 51.9% | 53.3% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–314%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
Kayserispor
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Kayserispor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80