GGOALVIO

Turkey · Süper Lig · 8/12/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hatayspor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pendikspor are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Hatayspor are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hatayspor hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Süper Lig, while Hatayspor holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hatayspor

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Hatayspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PendiksporLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HataysporWLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
PendiksporHatayspor
36.8Attack39.5
36.0Defence54.4
32.5Form36.0
37.5Power44.8
1.06xG1.41
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