Pendiksporvs
Bandırmaspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bandırmaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Pendikspor 0-1 Bandırmaspor, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Pendikspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor
Original prediction
Bandırmaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.6% | 29.4% | -15.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.2% | 27.8% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.2% | 42.8% | 15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Projected Score
Pendikspor 0–1 Bandırmaspor
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Bandırmaspor
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Bandırmaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PendiksporWLDWL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BandırmasporDDWWD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PendiksporBandırmaspor
39.5Attack48.0
55.3Defence68.6
42.1Form49.0
47.0Power54.9
0.78xG1.20