PenarolvsMillonarios

Penarol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Millonarios are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (24.2 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.