PenarolvsLiverpool Montevideo

Penarol are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.