PenarolvsDeportivo Maldonado

Penarol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Maldonado are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.