PenarolvsAmerica Mineiro

Penarol are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while America Mineiro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and America Mineiro hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (24.2 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while America Mineiro holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.