GGOALVIO

Malaysia · Super League · 3/1/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Negeri Sembilan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Penang are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Negeri Sembilan are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Negeri Sembilan hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 39.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Super League, while Negeri Sembilan holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Negeri Sembilan

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Negeri Sembilan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PenangDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Negeri SembilanDDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
PenangNegeri Sembilan
37.2Attack42.3
35.9Defence37.2
30.8Form34.6
36.5Power39.5
1.51xG1.53
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