Penangvs
Kelantan Red Warrior FC
COMPLETEDMalaysia · Super League · 9/12/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Penang 3-2 Kelantan Red Warrior FC
Original prediction
Penang
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 71.6% | 56.6% | -15.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.18 | 17.2% | 22.6% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 8.02 | 11.1% | 20.8% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Penang
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Penang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 2 · GA 22 · avg 0.40/4.40