Penafielvs
Lusitânia Lourosa
SCHEDULEDPortugal · Segunda Liga · 11/15/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penafiel · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Penafiel
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Penafiel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PenafielLDWWW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Lusitânia LourosaDWWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PenafielLusitânia Lourosa
66.7Attack57.1
66.7Defence76.2
61.9Form81.0
64.9Power74.2
1.15xG1.11