Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panionios · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pelister are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Panionios are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Panionios hold a 43.1-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 95.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Panionios holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Panionios
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
10.5%
Panionios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40