Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pelister · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Pelister are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Novaci are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelister hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (76.7 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.5% in the Second League, while Pelister holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pelister
Probability
77.5%
Model confidence
77.5%
Pelister has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00