GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/5/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Pelikan Łowicz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Wikielec are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pelikan ŁowiczLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WikielecDLDWW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pelikan ŁowiczWikielec
51.0Attack36.3
60.8Defence54.9
51.0Form42.2
53.7Power45.3
1.54xG0.77
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