Pelikan Łowiczvs
Wigry Suwałki
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pelikan Łowicz 1-4 Wigry Suwałki
Original prediction
Pelikan Łowicz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.7% | 43.8% | 8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.9% | 25.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.5% | 30.3% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Pelikan Łowicz
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00