GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/19/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pelikan Łowicz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pelikan ŁowiczLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Warta SieradzWWWLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pelikan ŁowiczWarta Sieradz
51.0Attack42.2
60.8Defence52.9
51.0Form43.1
53.7Power47.4
1.59xG0.90
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