GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/1/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pelikan Łowicz are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pelikan ŁowiczWDWWD

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Unia SkierniewiceLLDDW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pelikan ŁowiczUnia Skierniewice
51.0Attack76.5
60.8Defence54.9
51.0Form63.7
53.7Power63.6
1.46xG1.72
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