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Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 12:34
Pelikan Łowicz

Pelikan Łowicz

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W
21
Full time
Swit

Swit

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Pelikan Łowicz33%
Swit32%
Prediction missed— Result: Pelikan Łowicz
Win probability
Pelikan Łowicz
33%
Draw
35%
Swit
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Pelikan Łowicz
73
Swit
34
Defence
Pelikan Łowicz
66
Swit
27
Momentum
Pelikan Łowicz
100
Swit
0
Danger (xG)
Pelikan Łowicz
1.80
Swit
0.90
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.25 xG for Pelikan Łowicz and 1.51 xG for Swit — meaningful and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.26), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.76 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Pelikan Łowicz)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Swit)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Pelikan Łowicz)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Swit)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Pelikan ŁowiczPelikan Łowicz
W
SwitSwit
LLW

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Pelikan Łowicz33%
Draw35%
Swit32%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Pelikan Łowicz host Swit in Friendlies Clubs. Pelikan Łowicz have recorded LLLWLL in recent matches while Swit arrive with a run of WLLLLD. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 3.2 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Pelikan Łowicz have been conceding 2.19 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 4 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Pelikan Łowicz 1Draws 00 Swit
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Pelikan Łowicz
W21
Swit

Recent form

Pelikan Łowicz

Pelikan Łowicz

W
vs Swit
15 Jul 2026
21
Swit

Swit

L
@ Pelikan Łowicz
15 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Lechia T. Mazowiecki
17 May 2026
02
W
vs Łomża
13 May 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more