Pelikan Łowiczvs
Swit
SCHEDULEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Pelikan Łowicz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Swit are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the III Liga - Group 1, favouring a draw with 11.6% confidence, a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.8%
Model confidence
11.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00