GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/6/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pelikan Łowicz are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pelikan ŁowiczLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.DDLDD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Pelikan ŁowiczPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
51.0Attack45.1
60.8Defence41.2
51.0Form40.2
53.7Power44.2
2.01xG0.96
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