GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/10/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Pelikan Łowicz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pelikan ŁowiczWDLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mławianka MławaDDLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Pelikan ŁowiczMławianka Mława
51.0Attack39.2
60.8Defence50.0
51.0Form38.2
53.7Power43.7
1.71xG0.83
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