GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/17/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pelikan Łowicz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pelikan ŁowiczLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Pelikan ŁowiczLechia T. Mazowiecki
51.0Attack100.0
60.8Defence33.3
51.0Form100.0
53.7Power80.3
1.61xG1.31
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