GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/19/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Pelikan Łowicz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Pelikan ŁowiczWDLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Jagiellonia IILWWDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Pelikan ŁowiczJagiellonia II
51.0Attack48.0
60.8Defence46.1
51.0Form44.1
53.7Power46.8
1.83xG1.03
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