Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Peerless are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aryan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aryan hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.6% in the Calcutta Premier Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
17.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80