PEC Zwollevs
GO Ahead Eagles
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 10/18/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GO Ahead Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-4 (8%), 0-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PEC Zwolle 4-1 GO Ahead Eagles
Original prediction
GO Ahead Eagles
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 26.9% | 15.5% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.8% | 16.4% | -8.4 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 48.3% | 68.1% | 19.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–48%
- 3.0–38%
Predicted outcome
GO Ahead Eagles
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
68.1%
GO Ahead Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60