PEC Zwollevs
Cambuur
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cambuur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
PEC Zwolle 0-1 Cambuur
Original prediction
Cambuur
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 48.7% | 35.0% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 24.4% | 23.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 26.9% | 41.4% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Cambuur
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Cambuur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40