Peña Sportvs
Utebo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Utebo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Peña Sport 0-0 Utebo, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Peña Sport 1-1 Utebo
Original prediction
Utebo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.1% | 31.5% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.2% | 30.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 42.6% | 37.7% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Projected Score
Peña Sport 0–0 Utebo
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Utebo
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Utebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Peña SportDL
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00
BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
UteboLLWWD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Peña SportUtebo
50.0Attack39.2
50.0Defence69.6
50.0Form59.8
50.0Power58.3
0.86xG0.99