Peña Sportvs
Reddis
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Peña Sport · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Peña Sport 1-1 Reddis
Original prediction
Peña Sport
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.5% | 37.4% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.7% | 28.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.8% | 34.0% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Peña Sport
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Peña Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20